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Why Bitcoin whales are stacking 40x shorts before Trump’s announcement

Why Bitcoin whales are stacking 40x shorts before Trump’s announcement

Hours before a high-stakes White House announcement by Donald Trump, Bitcoin’s largest players quietly loaded into aggressive shorts — some at 40x leverage — as price action tapped but failed to hold $110,000. Liquidity remains thin, options flows are turning defensive across $109K–$115K, and liquidation clusters have formed just above $106K, setting the stage for a fast, directional move if support at $107K breaks or if a squeeze clears $111K. With “insider” timing suspected since the Oct. 10 whipsaw to $102K on Binance, traders should assume two-way volatility — and plan accordingly.

What just happened

Large BTC accounts opened fresh, high-leverage shorts into a narrowing range, aiming for a news-driven break. Spot failed to hold $110K, while derivatives data show concentrated interest around liquidation bands near $106K. Options net-premium flows reflect hedging into strength, signaling **proactive risk-off** positioning by pros.

Why this matters to traders

When whales lean short with leverage into a scheduled headline, it often means they expect a volatility impulse. In thin conditions, liquidity pockets become magnets: price can wick into liquidation clusters, trigger cascades, then violently reverse. That dynamic punishes late entries and oversized leverage.

The levels and triggers

- Support to hold: $107K (loss opens path to prior liquidity at $106K and potentially deeper). - Resistance to reclaim: $111K (acceptance above on rising volume flips bias toward $114K–$115K). - Context: Prior capitulation low at $102K (Oct. 10) remains a downside reference in disorderly conditions. - Time risk: Headline window around the Trump announcement; watch the first 15–30 minutes for fake-outs.

Actionable trading playbook

Risks and invalidation

If BTC reclaims and holds above $111K on expanding volume, the short-side thesis weakens, raising squeeze risk into $114K–$115K. Conversely, a clean break and acceptance below $107K increases probability of cascading stops toward prior liquidity pools. Options implied volatility can spike on headlines, making late hedges expensive and exits slippery.

Bottom line

This is a textbook **event-driven** setup: compressed range, defensive positioning, and visible liquidity targets. Let the levels confirm the move, keep size disciplined, and trade the reaction — not the prediction.

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