Traders are circling Sui as a textbook harmonic setup lines up a potential upside push—yes, even though it’s called a Bearish Bat. In many cases this pattern rallies through its final CD leg before price hits a high-probability Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). With Bitcoin and Ethereum firming and SUI up about 3% intraday, momentum is quietly building into levels that often decide the next strong move.
What’s driving SUI right now
SUI has reclaimed the 50-hour MA (~$2.51) and is pressing toward the 100-hour MA (~$2.6355). A firm breakout and close above the 100-hour tends to validate the continuation of the CD leg in a Bat structure. The pattern originates from X ~$3.016, with a key reaction low at C ~$2.341, and price is now hovering near $2.57—squarely between support and a pivotal momentum trigger.
The harmonic read: Bearish Bat with a bullish CD leg
While its name is “bearish,” the Bat pattern typically completes higher into a PRZ where sellers often return. For SUI, the completion zone aligns around $2.93–$3.01 (0.886 and 1.618 extensions). That corridor is a historical supply area in Bat structures—strong enough to cap short-term rallies, but also a magnet for momentum before reversal risk increases.
Why this matters to traders
- Strength above the 100-hour MA often fuels trend followers, driving liquidity into the PRZ. - The PRZ tends to be a decision point: momentum continuation or sharp fade. - Defined levels mean clearer risk parameters and invalidations, crucial in fast markets.
Actionable levels and scenarios
- Support to hold: 50-hour MA near ~$2.51. Loss of this level increases odds of a pullback or range chop.
- Momentum trigger: A 4H close above ~$2.6355 (100-hour MA) strengthens the CD-leg continuation thesis.
- Target zone (PRZ): ~$2.93–$3.01. Expect rising offer liquidity and potential profit-taking into this band.
- Invalidation: A lower low under ~$2.341 (C) weakens the harmonic structure and favors deeper consolidation.
- Tactical approach: Consider waiting for confirmation (close above the 100-hour) and use the 50-hour as a dynamic risk guide; into the PRZ, tighten risk as reward diminishes.
Risks and how to manage them
Harmonic patterns are probabilistic, not guarantees. False breakouts around moving averages are common, especially when BTC/ETH momentum stalls. Watch for funding spikes on perps, thinning weekend liquidity, and macro headlines that can flip the tape. Keep position sizes modest into the PRZ and predefine exit rules to avoid decision fatigue during volatility.
Bottom line
As long as SUI prints higher lows and holds above the 50-hour MA, the odds favor a push toward $2.93–$3.01. The cleaner momentum read arrives on a confirmed break above $2.6355. Into the PRZ, the playbook shifts from momentum to discipline: scale risk down, respect invalidations, and let the chart dictate the next move.
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