HBAR just flashed a textbook harmonic setup that often precedes a sharp upside push — right as Bitcoin and Ethereum tick higher and risk appetite returns. With price reclaiming a key moving average and pressing into the next resistance, liquidity is lining up toward a tight reversal box where algorithms love to engage. If buyers keep control into the next sessions, the path into the final CD leg could accelerate — but only if the right confirmations print.

HBAR’s Setup at a Glance

On the 4H chart, HBAR is tracing a Bearish Gartley: Point X at $0.19572, a corrective leg to A, rally to B, and a pullback to C near $0.16151. Since C, price reclaimed the 50-hour MA (~$0.16906) and is trading around $0.1782. The next inflection is the 100-hour MA (~$0.17794). A clean break and hold above it often confirms continuation of the bullish CD leg toward the PRZ between $0.18706 (0.786) and $0.19572 (1.0).

Why This Matters to Traders

- A Gartley’s final CD leg can be swift, offering defined targets and tight invalidation. - BTC/ETH in green improves alt liquidity and follow-through probabilities. - The PRZ is a high-interest zone where reactions are common — useful for both momentum and mean-reversion strategies.

Actionable Trade Framework

• Confirmation: Look for a 4H close above the 100h MA (~$0.17794) and prior intraday highs to confirm momentum. Volume expansion adds conviction.
• Targets: Scale out into $0.187 first, then the $0.195–$0.196 area (pattern completion).
• Invalidation: Momentum weakens on a sustained move back below the 50h MA (~$0.169); a 4H close under $0.165–$0.1615 puts the CD thesis at risk.
• Entry Tactics: If the breakout prints, consider a retest of the 100h MA as support for a lower-risk add. Avoid chasing extended candles.
• Risk: Size positions so a stop under invalidation risks a small, fixed % of equity. Expect wicks around $0.180 and $0.190 round numbers.

Key Risks to Monitor

- BTC/ETH pullback: Broad risk-off can negate alt setups quickly. - Pattern failure: Gartleys can overshoot or truncate; the PRZ often triggers counter-moves. - Leverage froth: Rising funding/OI without spot demand increases squeeze risk.

Pro Tips for Execution

- Set alerts at $0.178, $0.187, and $0.195 to track momentum and take-profit zones. - Watch 4H RSI > 50 and increasing volume for trend validation. - If price reaches the PRZ, be ready for two-sided action: momentum traders trim into strength; counter-trend traders probe small, tightly risked fades.

Bottom Line

HBAR’s harmonic map is clear: hold above the 100h MA and the market can drive into the $0.187–$0.196 completion box; lose the 50h MA and you’re likely stuck in chop. Let confirmation lead, define risk tightly, and trade the reaction — not the prediction.

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