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CEX Spot Volumes Jump 31% in Q3—Bull Run or Dead-Cat Bounce?

CEX Spot Volumes Jump 31% in Q3—Bull Run or Dead-Cat Bounce?

Liquidity just snapped back into crypto spot markets, and it’s not a blip. After a bruising first half, major centralized exchanges saw a sharp ~31% rebound in Q3 spot volumes to about $4.7T, coinciding with Bitcoin spiking above $123,000 in August. Under the surface, derivatives still dominate with a massive $26T quarter, but the rotation toward spot tells you where confidence—and potential momentum—just returned.

What Changed in Q3

Spot trading on the top CEXs surged by approximately 30.6% quarter-over-quarter, reversing two straight declines earlier in 2025. While perps and futures remained the main arena with about $26T in Q3 (up from $20.2T in Q2), the rebound in spot signals fresh capital entering—not just leverage expanding. Translation: more organic demand, tighter spreads, and deeper books, especially on BTC and top alts.

Why It Matters for Traders

Spot liquidity improves execution quality, reduces slippage, and often precedes broader alt participation. Rising spot alongside strong derivatives can fuel trend extensions—but it can also set up classic squeezes when funding skews. For active traders, this is prime time to reassess venue routing, fee tiers, and how you balance spot exposure with hedges in perps.

Winners and Laggards

Actionable Trade Setups to Consider

Key Risks on the Radar

Volatility clusters after fresh highs can trigger funding whipsaws and stop cascades. Derivatives dominance means crowding risk remains elevated—especially if BTC stalls below recent peaks. Exchange-specific risks (policy shifts, outages, or regional restrictions) can impact fills and withdrawals; diversify venues and maintain contingency routes.

Bottom Line

A revived spot market alongside booming perps is a powerful signal: liquidity and interest are back. Prioritize execution quality on majors, harvest funding when the crowd overreaches, and rotate into alts only where spot depth confirms the move. Discipline on venue choice and risk will define your edge as Q4 unfolds.

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